|
|
| Observatories / |
|
| The electronic communications services market in France in the 3rd quarter 2008 |
| Last update 11th February 2009 |
|
 To download or print the survey ( pdf)  Electronic communications operators earned €11.1 billion in revenue on the
end market in the third quarter 2008. Interconnection services and sales between
operators on the wholesale market generated €2.2 billion in additional revenue
during the quarter.
Revenue from just electronic communications services on the
end market, i.e. excluding operators’ related revenues (terminal sales, directory
services, advertising, hosting and call centre management, etc.) were €10.1 billion
in the third quarter 2008, up 2.4% over one year.
Telephony services and mobile telephony traffic represented
49.0 billion minutes in the third quarter 2008, growing 2.1% over one year.
Fixed telephony and Internet
There were 40.2 million subscriptions to telephone services
at the end of the third quarter 2008. This number rose 2.4% over one year thanks
to the continuous growth of broadband telephony services (IP DSL or cable) where
the number of subscriptions rose 38.1% over one year, while the number of telephone
subscriptions on dial-up access fell 9.4%. With 13.5 million subscriptions
at the end of the third quarter 2008, voice on broadband represented one-third
of telephone subscriptions. Still, the number of telephone subscriptions on
broadband has been growing more slowly for the past two quarters (+0.7 million
for the past two quarters, whereas it had been over one million during
the previous three quarters).
The proportion of fixed lines supporting only a “traditional”
telephone subscription on the PSTN declined to just 61% at the end of the third
quarter 2008, compared with 72% a year earlier. A growing number of lines have
a subscription to a voice-on-IP offer, replacing, or in addition to, the PSTN
subscription.
Certain voice-on-IP offers replace a PSTN subscription entirely.
They are created (by alternative operators and by the incumbent) on fully unbundled
lines or using “naked ADSL”. Their number has been growing regularly and, at
the end of the third quarter 2008, the share of fixed lines supporting just
a subscription to a telephone service on IP reached 23% compared with 15% a
year earlier. The share of lines on which two telephone subscriptions coexist
(a subscription on IP complementing a PSTN subscription), was 16% in the third
quarter 2008, and has been holding steady since early 2008.
Revenue directly attributable to fixed telephony (subscriptions and communications)
has been shrinking for several years. It was €2.6 billion in the third
quarter 2008, declining 5.2% over one year, more sharply than in previous quarters.
Revenue from subscriptions represented 57% of fixed telephony revenue (€1.5 billion
in the third quarter 2008). This revenue declined for the first time in the
third quarter 2008 (-3.8% over one year). This evolution can be explained by
the decrease in the number of telephone subscriptions on the PSTN, which has
been falling at a rate of 9% since the end of 2007. Revenue from telephone communications
(excluding public payphones and cards) has been shrinking for several years.
At €1.1 billion in the third quarter 2008, call revenue declined 5.3% over
one year.
Traffic originating on fixed phones (excluding public payphones
and cards) reached 24.2 billion minutes in the third quarter 2008. It grew
just 3.4% over one year, after seeing annual growth rates of close to 6% for
three quarters. Growth in the number of minutes sent on IP remains very strong
(+37.1% over one year).
At 10.7 billion minutes, IP calls represented 44% of
all traffic originating on fixed phones in the third quarter 2008 (compared
with 33% a year earlier). The proportion of minutes sent on IP for international
calls reached almost two-thirds (64%), and represents almost half of all long-distance
calls to fixed phones (46%). On the other hand, just 19% of minutes of fixed-mobile
calls are made on IP.
There were 18.3 million Internet subscriptions at the
end of the third quarter 2008 with 17.2 million accesses to high speed.
The number of high-speed Internet accesses rose by 2.4 million (15.9%)
over one year. Although still strong, this growth is still weaker than that
observed a year ago (annual growth of 3 million at the end of the third
quarter 2007).
Internet revenue rose 16.9% over one year to €1.3 billion
in the third quarter 2008, of which almost all (1.2 billion) was attributable
to high-speed accesses. The amount of the average monthly invoice of a high-speed
Internet subscription (€24.00 excluding VAT in the third quarter 2008) has been
stable for the past two years.
Close to 35% of ADSL subscribers (or 5.6 million) now
have access to television. The number of subscriptions to a television service
on ADSL rose 39% over one year.
Mobile Telephony
There were 56.4 million mobile telephony users in France
(number of SIM cards in service) at the end of the third quarter 2008. This
number increased by 3.2 million over one year, for an annual increase of
6.0%, although a slight slowdown has been seen since the beginning of the year.
The number of flat-rate subscriptions is definitely growing more quickly than
the number of pre-paid cards (respectively +8.3% and +1.5% over one year in
the third quarter 2008).
Revenue from mobile services (telephony and data transport)
was €4.7 billion in the third quarter 2008, rising by 4.5%. For two years,
the annual growth rate of this revenue had been between 5 and 6%. Revenue from
data transport services (€798 million in the third quarter 2008) rose much
more quickly than mobile telephony revenue (+24.7% and +1.2% over one year,
respectively) and the contribution of this revenue is on the rise.
Mobile multimedia services (access to Internet mobile, MMS)
were used by 17.4 million customers during the quarter. Use of these services
has been rising at a rate of 15% per year since the third quarter 2007.
There were 9.4 million active users of third-generation
services (voice, videophone, mobile television, data transfers, etc.) at the
end of the third quarter 2008, representing more than 4 million additional
users over one year. This growth was notably stronger throughout the last six
months of the year, with 1 million new users during the second quarter
2008 and 1.8 million during the third quarter 2008.
A full 8.5 billion interpersonal messages were sent during
the third quarter 2008. Over one year, the volume of text messages sent grew
by 3.7 billion for annual growth of 77.1%. On average, each customer sent
50 SMS per month in the third quarter 2008, or 20 messages more than a year
earlier.
Mobile telephony traffic represented 24.4 billion minutes
in the third quarter 2008. The annual growth of this traffic (+1.4%) slowed
sharply in the third quarter. The volume of mobile-fixed calls was down 2.7%
over one year. “On-net” traffic did not grow (-0.2% over one year), while the
volume of mobile calls to third-party mobile networks rose 6.9%.
Other market components
Revenue from value-added services was €597 million in
the third quarter 2008. Revenue from “voice and telematic” services, which still
represented three-quarters of revenue from value-added services, was down (-9.5%
over one year in the third quarter 2008) while income from data services grew
progressively (+11.2% over one year). Close to 9 out of 10 calls to value-added
services are made on fixed phones.
Down since the beginning of 2008, revenue from directory services
rose 2.3% over one year in the third quarter 2008 to €42 million. The number
of calls to directory services has been declining for two years. Just 30 million
calls were made in the third quarter 2008, 3.4 million fewer than in the
third quarter 2007. The majority of calls to directory services (about 70%)
are made on mobile telephones.
Note: The figures relating to a particular quarter may be revised from one
issue to the next as a result of corrections made by operators to their reports.
Any discrepancies between annual growth figures expressed as a percentage and
the corresponding values are due to rounding. | 1. The electronic communications market in its entirety |
1.1 The end customer market

Revenue from electronic communications services sold by operators
on the end market (excluding operators’ related revenues) reached €10.1 billion
in the third quarter 2008, growing 2.4% over one year.
Revenue from fixed services (fixed telephony and Internet)
reached close to €4 billion in the third quarter 2008, up 1.2% over one
year. Revenue directly attributable to fixed telephony (from subscriptions and
telephone calls) was €2.6 billion in the third quarter 2008. It has been
slowing for several years, and dipped more strongly in the third quarter 2008
(-5.2% over one year) than in previous quarters. On the other hand, revenue
from Internet services (€1.3 billion) saw strong and continuous growth
(+16.9% over one year in the third quarter 2008).
Revenue from mobile services was €4.7 billion, or 46.6%
of all revenue from electronic communications services. In the third quarter
2008, the 4.5% growth over one year was sharply lower than that which had been
measured since early 2008 (close to 6%).

The volume of “voice” services (on fixed and mobile networks)
was 49.0 billion minutes in the third quarter 2008, up 2.1% over one year.
The volume of calls made from fixed phones was 24.6 billion
minutes in the third quarter 2008. This fixed telephony volume has been growing
since the end of 2007 by 4 to 5% per year thanks to the strong development of
telephony on IP (which now represents 44% of minutes originating on fixed phones).
Growth was weaker in the third quarter 2008 at +2.8%.
Mobile telephony traffic represented 24.4 billion minutes
in the third quarter 2008, rising 1.4% over one year in the third quarter 2008.
This growth was weaker than in the three previous quarters when it was close
to 4%.
The number of SMS sent in a quarter has been growing strongly
for a year. During the third quarter 2008, 8.4 billion interpersonal messages
were sent on mobile networks, 3.7 billion more than in the third quarter
2007.



Clarification on the “fixed services” segment
The fixed segment is composed of fixed telephony and Internet. By convention,
the segmentation used in the Observatory covers all revenues from multi-service
offers to Internet and includes only directly attributable revenues to fixed
telephony revenues. The indicator for revenues directly attributable to fixed
telephony services covers revenues from access fees and subscriptions to telephone
service (PSTN and VoIP when invoiced separately from Internet service), revenues
from calls made on fixed lines explicitly invoiced (PSTN and VoIP invoiced in
addition to multiplay packages), revenues from public payphones and cards. Access
to a voice-on-IP service and calls on IP, when included in the invoices for
high-speed Internet packages, are not covered by this indicator: they are included
in the “high-speed Internet access revenues” indicator and, more broadly, in
the “Internet revenues” indicator. 1.2 The intermediate market (interconnection and wholesale market)1.2.1 The total marketRevenue from services exchanged between operators on the intermediate
market represented €2.2 billion in the third quarter 2008.
The share generated by fixed network operators represented
just over half of the intermediate market and reached €1.1 billion in the
third quarter 2008, for growth of 1.6% over one year. This growth was due to
the contribution of revenue from wholesale high-speed access services (unbundling,
wholesale bitstream offers, etc.) which reached €424 million during the
quarter. The rate of growth in the revenue from these services (+10.1% over
one year in the third quarter 2008) tended to slow, due primarily to the impact
of the decline in tariffs. The reduction in revenue from services related to
telephone services (€716 million in the third quarter 2008, or -2.5% over
one year) was contained in part by the contribution of income from the wholesale
telephone subscription offer.
Fixed operators’ global interconnection traffic was down 4.9%
over one year, in part because of consolidation on the fixed market (merger
of Neuf Télécom, Club Internet and Cegetel, and between Free and Alice) which
slashed the number of players on the intermediate market.
Revenue generated by mobile operators’ interconnection services
(voice and data) was €1.0 billion in the third quarter 2008. The reduction
of the wholesale mobile call termination tariff on 1st January 2008
(13% cut for Orange France and SFR and 8% for Bouygues Telecom) led to a decline
in the revenue generated by these services (-5.2% over one year in the third
quarter 2008), despite a 5.8% increase in the volume of mobile operators’ interconnection
minutes over one year.
The revenue and volume of dial-up Internet interconnection
services are marginal and shrinking significantly (over 30% over one year in
the third quarter 2008).


Notes:
- Interconnection covers all the services provided by one carrier to
another under the terms of an interconnection agreement. In cases of mergers
or takeovers, some of the revenue streams between the telcos disappear, which
might account for decreases in revenues from one quarter to the next.
- Interconnection revenues and traffic volumes are not calculated using
the same criteria, which makes a comparison between the two indicators unsuitable
for estimating average prices (interconnection revenues include fixed revenues
such as charges for connection links and intercarrier services).
- Please note that the interconnection figures shown above might be accounted
for twice, particularly in the case of fixed operators
- Wholesale broadband services include revenues from both LLU and bitstream
or equivalent services.
There were 6.1 million unbundled lines at the end of
the third quarter 2008, representing more than 17% of all fixed lines. Full
unbundling saw sustained growth (+38.0% over one year in the third quarter 2008).
Three out of four unbundled lines (4.5 million) are now fully unbundled
and their number grew by 1.3 million over one year.
There were 1.5 million partially unbundled lines at the
end of the third quarter 2008.



At end September 2008, operators had purchased 1.1 million “naked ADSL”
lines from the incumbent. The volume of these purchases was up 40.7% over one
year. 1.2.2 Incoming international interconnection[1]Operators’ income from incoming international interconnection services in the third quarter 2008 was down 2.4% over one year, earning them €160 million. The global volume of incoming international interconnection traffic was 3 billion minutes. The volume of traffic terminating on French mobile networks represented less than one-quarter of this traffic but grew more quickly than foreign traffic terminating on French fixed networks (annual growth of +12.7% and +3.9%, respectively, in the third quarter 2008). A European Union rule dated 7 June 2007 requires a progressive price cut in international roaming tariffs over several years. As a result, the price of calls abroad (Eurotarif) has declined from €0.49 excluding VAT on 30 August 2008 to €0.46 excluding VAT for calls to foreign countries and from €0.24 excluding VAT to €0.22 excluding VAT for calls received from foreign countries. 
_____________________________ [1] This market segment is a subset of the total market (cf. 1.2.1) 1.2.3 Mobile operators roaming-in[2]
Note: Roaming-in is a service whereby a French mobile operator carries calls
made and received in France by customers of foreign mobile operators. Revenues
correspond to the out-payments made between operators. The ratio of revenue
to volume does not correspond to any specific tariff and particularly not to
the price billed to the customer.
____________________________ [2] This market segment is a subset of the total market (cf. 1.2.1) 2.1 Fixed networks servicesRevenue from high-speed services on fixed networks (fixed telephony on broadband
and high-speed Internet) grew 20.5% over one year in the third quarter 2008, representing
38.7% of all revenue from fixed services compared with 32.5% a year earlier. At
the same time, revenue from dial-up services on fixed networks (telephony on the
PSTN, dial-up Internet) declined 8.0%, and other revenues (public payphones, cards
and related Internet access revenues, etc.) fell by 9.1% over the same period.


2.2 Fixed telephony2.2.1 Access, subscriptions and fixed linesThere were 40.2 million subscriptions to a telephone service on fixed lines
at the end of the third quarter 2008. Over one year, the number of subscriptions
rose 2.4% thanks to the rapid expansion in the number of subscriptions to voice-on-broadband
services.
The number of subscriptions to telephony-on-broadband services
(IP subscriptions on DSL or on cable) grew rapidly, and they now represent one
in three telephone subscriptions. This number jumped 38.1% over one year reaching
13.5 million at the end of the third quarter 2008. Still, growth has been
slower for six months, with the increase in the number of subscriptions to voice
on IP at just 0.7 million per quarter, whereas it had been more than one
million in previous quarters.
Along with the rise in IP access telephony, the number of
dial-up access subscriptions (on analogue or digital lines and on cable) has
been falling for several years. At 26.7 million subscriptions at the end
of the third quarter 2008, this number was down 2.8 million over one year
(-9.4%).
Resulting from the wholesale telephone subscription sale offer,
834 000 subscriptions to telephone services on the PSTN (or 3.1% of these
subscriptions) were invoiced directly to customers by an operator other than
the incumbent at the end of the third quarter 2008.

Note:
- Subscription to telephone on IP service on xDSL lines without PSTN
subscription: a subscription to telephone service on lines where low frequencies
are not used to support voice service (by the incumbent or by an alternative
operator). This is the case of offers to broadband voice services resulting
from full unbundling and “naked ADSL” offers.
- Subscription to telephone on IP service on xDSL lines with PSTN subscription:
a subscription to telephone service on lines where low frequencies are also
used to support voice service on the PSTN. This is the case of telephone offers
resulting from partial unbundling and “bitstream” outside “naked ADSL”.
A lower percentage—still the majority but shrinking—of telephone
lines supports only a subscription to “traditional” telephony on the PSTN (61%
of telephone lines at the end of the third quarter 2008 compared with 72% a
year earlier). An increasing number of lines now support telephone service on
IP. These voice-on-IP offers can be created by operators through:
- fully unbundled lines or “naked ADSL”. The customer has
only a subscription to a voice-on-IP service and no longer has a “traditional”
telephone subscription on the PSTN. The proportion of these lines has been growing
constantly, and represented 23% of all fixed lines at the end of the third quarter
2008, compared with 15% a year earlier.
- partially unbundled lines or based on wholesale “bitstream”
offers (excluding “naked ADSL”). Here, the subscription to a voice-on-IP service
is in addition to a PSTN telephone subscription, which the user keeps. The proportion
of these lines has held steady since the beginning of 2008. At the end of the
third quarter 2008, 16% of lines in service supported two subscriptions to telephone
service compared with 14% a year earlier.

|
Further information concerning the IP telephony
service indicators
The terminology used:
The IP telephony service indicators referred to in this issue
cover broadband voice services, regardless of the type of bearer (primarily
DSL IP, but also cable IP) and Internet voice services where the operators
are registered with ARCEP.
ARCEP uses the term “broadband voice services” to refer to
fixed telephony services which use VoIP technology over an Internet access
network with a bandwidth of more than 128 Kbit/s and whose quality
is controlled by the operator providing the service, and “Internet voice
services” to mean voice call services using the public Internet network and
whose quality is not controlled by the operator providing the service.
The Observatory records only VoIP service calls which originate
in the access layer. The indicators do not cover traffic which uses IP protocol
solely in the core network.
Furthermore, the Observatory does not take into account unregistered
operators which offer PC-to-PC Internet voice services. These operators are
not covered by the scope of the survey.
Revenues taken into account:
The Observatory distinguishes between calls originating from
IP telephony services and other voice calls. However, while the volume of VoIP
calls relates to all such traffic on the retail market, recorded revenues
cover only billed VoIP traffic (e.g. calls made on top of those included
in a multiplay package).
|
During the second quarter 2008, 444 000 numbers were
kept through “porting” between fixed telephony operators.

Telephony offers based on carrier selection concerned close
to four million customers at the end of the third quarter 2008, or 1.4 million
fewer than a year earlier. Competition from telephony-on-IP offers and offers
including a telephone subscription has caused the number of subscriptions to
these offers to shrink continuously since the beginning of the year 2006.
There were 750 000 subscriptions to call-by-call selection
offers at the end of the third quarter 2008. It has been declining at a high
annual rate (between -30 and -40 %) for two years
(-35.3% in the third quarter 2008).
There were 3.2 million subscriptions to pre-selection
by the end of the third quarter 2008, close to one million fewer than one
year ago (-22.8%).


Note: The number of call-by-call selection customers takes into account
only active subscriptions, while carrier pre-selection figures take into account
only current subscriptions, net of cancellations.
Access and subscription revenues reached €1.5 billion
in the third quarter 2008, representing 57.3% of all revenue from fixed telephony
services.
This revenue was down 3.8% over one year in the second quarter
2008, due primarily to the decline in the number of telephone subscriptions
on the PSTN (at a rate of 9% per year since the end of 2007).

Note: In addition to revenues relating to access to the telephone service,
access revenues also include subscriptions to IP telephony and revenues generated
by additional services (such as calling line identification presentation, etc.). 2.2.2 Calls from fixed lines (excluding public payphones and cards)Revenue directly attributable to telephone calls from fixed lines was €1.1 billion
in the third quarter 2008. This revenue declined 5.3% over one year due to the
drop in income from calls made on the PSTN (down 10.2% over the same period).
Revenue from invoiced calls originating on IP access (€150 million in the
third quarter 2008) was up 41.8% over one year. Since most IP calls are included
in high-speed Internet packages, they are not included in this revenue. Despite
this, revenue from billed IP calls represented 14% of all revenues from calls
from fixed lines in the third quarter 2008.

Note: Revenues from VoIP calls only include the charges billed by operators
for such calls made in addition to those included in a multiplay package. Therefore,
this amount does not include the cost of the multiplay subscription, nor the
charge for connection to a broadband telephone service.
Traffic originating on fixed lines (PSTN and IP traffic) was
up 3.4% over one year, representing a total volume of 24.2 billion minutes
in the third quarter 2008.
Over 80% of this volume is composed of fixed long-distance
calls, whose volume, although previously declining, has been increasing since
the fourth quarter 2007 at an annual rate of 4% to 6%. In the third quarter
2008, the annual growth rate levelled off to return to +2.8%. The strong growth
in the volume of long-distance calls made on IP (+35.1% over one year in the
third quarter 2008, or 2.3 billion additional minutes) continued to offset
the decline in long-distance calls made on the PSTN (-14.6% or 1.8 billion
fewer minutes over the same period). International traffic rose 18.0% over one
year in the third quarter 2008. The development of this traffic was also boosted
by the very strong growth in the volume of international calls made on IP (+50.1%
over one year in the third quarter 2008), while international call traffic on
the PSTN declined 14.2% over the same period. Traffic to mobiles was down slightly
(-0.9% over one year in the third quarter 2008).

Note:
- While the volume of VoIP calls covers all of this traffic observed
on the end market, revenue covers only invoiced VoIP traffic (for example in
addition to a multiplay package).
a) Calls on the PSTN


Just 13.5 billion minutes of calls were made from the
public switched telephone network (PSTN) in the third quarter 2008, dropping
13.5% over one year. Revenue generated by these calls was also down (-9.9% over
one year). The volume of calls on the PSTN and related revenues shrank across
the board regardless of the type of call (long-distance, international or to
mobiles).
b) Calls on IP originating on fixed networks

The volume of calls made originating on IP access represented
10.7 billion minutes in the third quarter 2008. Over one year, traffic
on IP rose 37.1% and now represents 44% of the total volume of minutes originating
on fixed phones compared with 33% a year earlier.
The growth in the proportion of IP traffic in all traffic
originating on fixed networks is boosted by the presence of unlimited telephony
offers in “multiplay” packages, especially for calls to national and international
fixed phones. So, IP telephony dominates international calls with minutes sent
on IP representing almost two-thirds (64%) of traffic in the third quarter 2008.
Practically half of all traffic from long-distance calls to fixed phones (46%)
is now made on IP. The proportion of minutes from fixed-mobile calls made on
IP was just 19%, since this type of call does not benefit from unlimited offers.


Notes:
- The volume of traffic originating on a fixed line includes calls from
fixed telephones, public payphones and prepaid phone cards.
- The seasonally adjusted values for this data can be found in the “Séries chronologiques”
spreadsheets available on the ARCEP website
For the past year, the volume of traffic originating on fixed phones has held
firm at around 27 billion minutes: in seasonally adjusted data, it was
one billion minutes higher than the previous three years. 2.2.3 Fixed telephony cards and public payphones

The number of public payphones in service has been falling
by about 10 000 phones per year for the past three years (or a 5.3% decline
over one year in the third quarter 2008). The decrease in the number of phones
in service is mirrored by a drop in revenue and in the volume of calls (-28.9%
and -31.7%, respectively). 2.3 Internet on fixed networksThere were 18.3 million subscriptions to Internet access
at the end of the third quarter 2008, of which 17.2 million accesses were
for high speed. The number of high-speed accesses grew 15.9% over one year in
the third quarter 2008, corresponding to 2.4 million additional accesses.
While still high, this growth is not as strong as a year earlier when annual
growth was greater than 3 million.
Revenue from all Internet accesses was up 16.9% over one year
in the third quarter 2008, reaching €1.3 billion. High-speed accesses represented
practically all of this revenue (€1.2 billion in the third quarter 2008).
Despite this strong growth (and like the number of high-speed accesses), in
2008, high speed revenue has been growing more slowly than in 2007. This revenue
grew €198 million over one year in the third quarter 2008, compared with
€236 million in the third quarter 2007.
The average monthly invoice for a high-speed Internet subscription
has been holding steady for two years. At €24.00 excluding VAT in the third
quarter 2008, it was close to three times more than the invoice for dial-up
(€8.30 per month excluding VAT).
The number of dial-up Internet accesses (1.1 million
at the end of the third quarter 2008) and the volume of traffic generated by
these accesses has been declining quickly over the past several years.

Note: There may be a time lag between the delivery of a service on
the wholesale market (LLU or bitstream) and its actual availability on the retail
market. A comparison between the data relating to these different markets might
reflect this.


Note: The “Other Internet services” item corresponds to related ISP
revenues such as web hosting or revenues from online advertising. Income from
the sale and rental of telephones and terminal equipment is included in the
item “Sale and rental of telephones and terminal equipment by fixed operators
and Internet service providers”.


2.4 Internet and television on ADSLThere were 16.3 million Internet-on-ADSL subscriptions
at the end of the third quarter 2008, or 2.2 million more than a year earlier.
More than one-third of these subscribers now also use this technology to watch
television on ADSL. The number of these subscriptions reached 5.6 million
at the end of the third quarter 2008, rising 1.6 million over one year.


Note: This indicator covers subscriptions which are “eligible” for television
services, i.e. those where subscribers are able to activate this type of service,
regardless of the number of channels available or the pricing plan involved.
It takes into account both standalone subscriptions and those which are part
of a “multiplay” service package that includes access to one or more other services
besides television (Internet, telephone service). 2.5 Mobile telephony2.5.1 Subscriptions
ARCEP also publishes a geographic segmentation of these subscriptions and
a breakdown by type of customer in its advanced mobile market observatory (Mobile
Indicator Monitor)
There were 56.4 million users of mobile telephony services
(number of SIM cards in service) at the end of the third quarter 2008. This
number rose 6.0% over one year, growing by 3.2 million during the period.
This growth remains strong although slower (close to 7%) than that observed
since the beginning of 2007.
The number of “post-paid” package subscriptions is definitely
a majority (67.8%) with respect to “pre-paid card” formulas, and its proportion
continues to grow. The number of “post-paid” subscriptions grew 8.3% over one
year in the third quarter 2008. The annual growth rate for these subscriptions
was over 8% for the third quarter 2007. The annual growth rate for the number
of “pre-paid cards” slowed in late 2007 (when it was around 5%); it was 1.5%
in the third quarter 2008.


Notes:
- The number of active multimedia users is defined as the number of customers
(contract or prepaid subscribers) who have used a multimedia service such as
WAP, i-Mode, MMS or e-mail (text messages are not covered by this definition)
at least once in the past month, regardless of the type of bearer technology
used (CSD, GPRS, UMTS, etc.). Scope: Mainland France and overseas dependencies.
- The number of active 3G users is defined as the number of customers
having used (sent or received) a high-speed mobile service (voice, videophone,
mobile TV, data transfer, etc.) using 3G wireless technology during the past
three months.
There were 17.4 million users of mobile multimedia services
(“mobile Internet” services, MMS, etc.) at the end of the third quarter 2008.
Since the third quarter 2007, use of these services has risen at a regular rate
of around 15% over one year (14.9% in the third quarter 2008).
The services available on third-generation (3G) mobile networks
were used at least once during the third quarter 2008 by 9.4 million customers
(or 17% of all mobile operator customers). The number of 3G users grew 77.9%
over one year in the third quarter 2008, corresponding to over four million
additional customers during the period. This increase was stronger during the
last two quarters with one million new users during the second quarter
2008 and 1.8 million during the third quarter 2008.
There were 821 000 subscriptions to an “Internet only”
service (Internet-only SIM cards) at the end of the third quarter 2008 and this
number has been rising by about 100 000 every quarter since the beginning
of 2008. These SIM cards are used for mobile Internet connections (using a PCMCIA
card, a 3G Internet key, etc.) and cannot be used to make voice calls.



Note: The number of ported numbers is defined as the number of telephone
numbers effectively ported to another operator (numbers activated by the receiving
operator) during the course of the quarter in question. Scope: Mainland France
and overseas dependencies.
In the third quarter 2008, 305 000 mobile numbers were
ported from one operator to another. The number of numbers ported during a quarter
has held steady since early 2008.

2.5.2 Income and volumes indicatorsRevenue from mobile services (telephony and data transport)
was €4.7 billion in the third quarter 2008, growing 4.5% over one year.
This growth remains strong but, at close to 6%, is still lower than that measured
since early 2008.
Revenue from data transport services on mobile networks (interpersonal
messaging services, mobile Internet access services and multimedia services)
represented €798 million in the third quarter 2008. The increase in the
revenue generated by data transport services (+24.7% over one year in the third
quarter 2008) is definitely stronger than that of mobile telephony (+1.2% over
the same period). The share of data transport in revenue from mobile operators
reached 17% at the end of the third quarter 2008, compared with 14% a year earlier.

Notes:
- These are revenues on the retail market. Revenues from the market between
operators (interconnection, wholesale) are not included. Also excluded are retail
revenues from value-added services.
- Following changes in accounting methods, certain revenues which were
previously included with data transfer revenues, are now included with mobile
operators’ “data” added-value service revenues, in accordance with the Observatory
definition. The data in the table below take these corrections into account.

The volume of traffic originating on mobiles was 24.4 billion
minutes in the third quarter 2008, rising 1.4% with respect to the third quarter
2007, at a rate sharply lower than that observed over the past year (around
4%).
This slowdown was caused by a drop in traffic to the national
fixed network (-2.7% over one year in the third quarter 2008) but above all
by the slowdown in the growth in the volume of calls exchanged between mobiles
on the same network (“on-net” traffic) over these past two years. “On-net” volume,
including calls to voice messaging and operators’ short numbers, which represented
more than half of the total volume of traffic sent originating on mobiles, did
not grow in the third quarter 2008 (-0.2% over one year) after slower growth
in 2007, but was still at an annual growth rate of 3% to 4% since the beginning
of 2008. The seasonally-adjusted series, down 2% in the third quarter 2008 with
respect to the previous quarter, confirms this slowdown in traffic growth.
Following a period of continuous decline (less than 1% in
the three previous quarters) the volume of mobile-fixed calls slipped 2.7% over
one year in the third quarter 2008. The volume of mobile calls to third-party
mobile networks has grown at an annual rate of 7% over one year since the beginning
of 2008 (+6.9% in the third quarter 2008).

(The seasonally adjusted values for this data can be found
in the “Séries chronologiques” spreadsheets available on the ARCEP website)

Mobile operators’ customers sent 8.5 billion interpersonal
messages (SMS and MMS) during the third quarter 2008. Close to 99% interpersonal
messages are text messages (SMS) which have multiplied thanks to mobile operators’
“unlimited texting” offers.
The number of SMS has been growing very strongly since the
fourth quarter 2007. Growth skyrocketed to 77.1% over one year in the third
quarter 2008, representing 3.7 billion additional SMS during the period
(or 752 million more SMS during the third quarter 2008). Each mobile operator
customer sends 50 SMS on average per month, compared with 30 SMS a year ago.
Subscribers having a flat-rate package send on average 26 messages more than
customers using a pre-paid formula (58 and 33 SMS per month, respectively).


(The seasonally adjusted values for this data can be found in the “Séries
chronologiques” spreadsheets available on the ARCEP website) 2.6 Revenue and voice traffic of metropolitan mobile operatorsUntil now, total recurring revenue and total recurring voice
traffic indicators were published in the Mobile Indicator Monitor (MIM) one
quarter after other indicators in this publication. In order to protect the
coherence of the indicator publications for the same quarter, revenue and recurring
traffic now appear in this Observatory with the current quarter.
Furthermore, on equivalent geographic and service perimeters
(indicators for Metropolitan France and including VAS), for recurring revenue
and traffic indicators, we now publish total revenue and total traffic indicators
for the residential retail market. 2.6.1 Residential retail market (mobile services and value-added services of Metropolitan mobile operators)
Notes: for the residential market only, this indicator includes:
- Revenue from mobile services (telephony and data). This is the “residential”
part of the retail market revenue appearing in item 2.5.2.
- Revenue from value-added services (including directory services). This
is the “residential” part of the retail market revenue appearing in items 2.7.1
and 2.7.2.

Notes: for the residential market only, this indicator includes:
- Mobile telephony services traffic. This is the “residential” part of
the retail market revenue appearing in item 2.5.2.
- Value-added services traffic (including directory services). This is
the “residential” part of the retail market revenue appearing in items 2.7.1
and 2.7.2. 2.6.2 Total recurring sales and recurring voice traffic of mobiles networks operators (Metropolitan)
Note: Recurring revenue for a mobile network operator covers all revenues
generated by the operator's customers on the retail and wholesale markets, which
will not be repaid to third parties. It includes revenues:
- for customer access to mobile services on the retail or wholesale
market
- outgoing traffic on the retail market (including roaming out) and on
the access and mobile call origination wholesale market by hosted MVNOs
- incoming traffic for call termination (including for calls to the MVNO
hosted by the network operator)
Any promotions and discounts granted to customers are deducted
from recurring revenue. On the other hand, unpaid invoices are not deducted
(in accordance with the IFRS standard).
Connection fees, terminal sales and roaming-in are not
included. Recurring revenue excludes repayments to third parties for the quarter
and geographic area in question, linked in particular to value-added services
(special numbers, SMS+, etc.) or directory services.
Total recurring revenue is the total recurring revenue of the various network operators. It
is the total of all revenues received from end customers (residential and business)
and the total of intermediate revenues exchanged between operators on the wholesale
market for call termination.
Total recurring revenue of network operators does not include
revenues received by MVNOs from their customers.

Note: Mobile network operators’ recurring traffic (in circuit mode) covers
all voice traffic, both incoming and outgoing, generated by, or to, the operator’s
customers and MVNOs. Recurring traffic does not include roaming in. It includes:
- outgoing calls to fixed telephones
- calls to third-party mobiles
- calls to mobiles on the same network, in particular calls to check
voice messages, including to virtual mobile operators
- incoming calls from telephony and mobile telephony networks, including
traffic to hosted MVNOs
- roaming out
Total recurring traffic is the total recurring traffic of the various network operators. Total
recurring voice traffic includes double accounting; outgoing minutes to an operator’s
third-party mobiles are also counted by other operators as incoming minutes.
On the other hand, outgoing minutes to mobiles on the same network, or to fixed
telephones, are counted just once. 2.7 Other market components2.7.1 Value added services (excluding directory services)Note: Following changes in accounting methods, certain revenues which were previously included with data transfer revenues, are now included with mobile operators’ “data” added-value services revenues, in accordance with the Observatory definition. The data in the table below take these corrections into account. Revenue from value-added services (€597 million in the third quarter 2008) declined 5.2% over one year. Revenue from “voice and telematic” services was down 9.5% during the second quarter 2008, while revenue from data services grew progressively (+11.2% in the third quarter 2008) and now represents one-quarter of revenue from value-added services. During the quarter, 1.2 billion calls were sent to “voice and telematic” services, generating traffic volume of 3.1 billion minutes. Close to nine out of ten calls (and 85.2% of the volume of minutes) to these services are made from fixed phones. 
* This corresponds to all amounts billed to customers by operators, including out payments from operators to service providers. “Data” value-added services include premium-rate services such as those on the Orange “Gallery” portal, push services, chat rooms, weather forecasts, TV game shows, horoscopes, ringtone downloads, etc. 


2.7.2 Directory servicesRevenue from telephone directory services was €42 million
in the third quarter 2008. Growth of this revenue has been slowing since the
beginning of 2008, rising just 2.3% over one year in the third quarter.
The number of calls to directory services numbers (30 million
calls in the third quarter 2008) is on the decline. Over one year, the number
of calls fell 10.1%, representing 3.4 million fewer calls. Most of these
calls were sent from mobile networks (representing 65.3% of call minutes to
directory services).


Note: Directory information services include the 118xyz numbers in
use since November 2005 and short numbers used to access reverse lookup directory
services (3288, 3217, and 3200) or international directory services (3212).
2.7.3 Leased lines and data transport (fixed operators)Revenue from leased lines on the end market was €364 million
in the third quarter 2008. Just over half of this revenue (€194 million)
comes from leased line sales made by operators with other operators.
Data transport revenue was €462 million in the third
quarter 2008.

Note: Revenues from leased lines may be accounted for twice since the
figures include operator-to-operator sales. These sales may represent up to
29% of total leased-line revenues 2.7.4 Hosting and call centre management services . 2.7.5 Terminals and equipmentRevenue from terminal sales and rentals reached €781 million
in the third quarter 2008, growing 20.4% over one year. Mobile operators generated
over three-quarters of these revenues (€599 million during the quarter).
The launch of new touch-screen terminals in July 2008 helped to significantly
boost mobile operators’ revenue on this market segment.

Note: Revenues from terminals and equipment include commissions to distributors. 2.8 Indicators per customer
The average monthly invoice per fixed line is
calculated by dividing the income from calls originating on fixed lines (line
rental, call charges and Internet service charges) for quarter N by the estimated
average number of fixed lines in existence for quarter N, and then by the number
of months. (See the box on page 36 for an explanation of the concept of a
“line”)
The average monthly invoice per mobile customer is
calculated by dividing the income from mobile telephony (voice and data revenues,
including roaming-out, excluding revenue from incoming calls) for quarter N
by the estimated average number of mobile customers for quarter N, and then
by the number of months. This indicator, which does not include interconnection
revenues, or those from value-added services, is not the same as the traditional
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) indicator.


The average monthly volume of traffic per fixed line is
calculated by dividing the volume of traffic (PSTN and IP) for quarter N by
the estimated average number of fixed lines in existence for quarter N, and
then by the number of months.
The average monthly volume of traffic per mobile operator customer
is calculated by dividing the volume of mobile telephony
traffic (including roaming-out) for quarter N by the estimated average number
of mobile customers for quarter N, and then by the number of months.


The average number of SMS messages per customer is
calculated by dividing the number of SMS messages for quarter N by the estimated
average number of customers for quarter N, and then by the number of months.


The average monthly invoice per PSTN subscription is
calculated by dividing the income from line rental and calls made from PSTN
fixed lines (i.e. excluding VoIP revenues) for quarter N by the estimated average
number of subscriptions for quarter N, and then by the number of months.
The average monthly invoice per subscription to an IP telephony service
is calculated by dividing the income just from IP
calls billed (i.e. those made in addition to those included in a multiplay package)
for quarter N by the estimated average number of subscriptions for quarter N,
and then by the number of months.
The average monthly invoice per dial-up (or broadband) Internet subscription
is calculated by dividing the income from the dial-up (or broadband)
Internet connections for quarter N by the estimated average number of customers
for quarter N, and then by the number of months.



The average monthly volume of PSTN (or IP) traffic is
calculated by dividing the volume of PSTN (or IP) traffic for quarter N by the
estimated average number of subscriptions to a PSTN (or IP) telephone service
for quarter N, and then by the number of months.
The average monthly volume of dial-up Internet traffic is
calculated by dividing the volume of dial-up Internet traffic for quarter N
by the estimated average number of subscriptions to a dial-up Internet service
for quarter N, and then by the number of months.

Average number of customers for quarter N: [(total number of customers
at the end of quarter N + total number of customers at the end of quarter N-1)
/ 2]
|
Further information about indicators per customer
With the growing use of broadband voice services as a second
line, it is no longer very useful to use average revenue per subscription as
an indicator. In fact, a large number of households now have a second telephone
service subscription, usually a VoIP service, but this doesn’t mean that they
make twice as many calls. So naturally, the average volume of traffic and average
bill per subscription is lower. In order to obtain a clearer picture of the
indicators reflecting customers’ usage of telephone services and their average
expenditure, the concept of what constitutes a “line” has been redefined.
Until 2004, the terms “line” and “subscription” were used
interchangeably when referring to the number of subscriptions to telephone services.
In the case of telephony over analogue lines, a subscription
corresponded to a fixed line. For digital lines, it was accepted practice to
take the number of channels subscribed for as the number of fixed lines, i.e.
two for BRI lines and up to 30 for PRI lines. In practice, the business customer
pays as many monthly line rental charges as the number of channels subscribed
for, i.e. two for BRI lines and up to 30 for PRI lines. This convention has
been retained.
With the implementation of broadband voice services, operators can provide
an IP telephone service over an analogue line which is already used for a PSTN
telephone service. In order to facilitate comparisons over time, the number
of “lines” indicator has been defined as:
- for digital lines: the number of channels subscribed for, i.e. two for BRI
lines and up to 30 for PRI lines;
- for analogue lines: -
the number of PSTN subscriptions
the xDSL line subscriptions without a PSTN subscription
- for cable telephone service subscriptions: the subscription
As far as revenues are concerned, the number of multiservice
packages is constantly growing. These include the possibility of making unlimited
calls to national fixed lines and to certain international destinations at no
additional charge. Consequently, the overall bill covers an increasing range
of services, regardless of the number of calls made (as also happens with mobile
services). Internet access and telephone services are becoming increasingly
inseparable.
The average bill per line reflects what the customer pays per month for both
telephone service and Internet access. Revenues taken into account are:
- revenues from service subscription charges and supplementary services
- revenues from calls made from fixed-line telephones, including IP calls made
in addition to the multiplay inclusive package
- revenues from dial-up Internet access and broadband Internet access
The following are not taken into account:
- revenues from payphones and phone cards
- revenues from other services linked to Internet access, which correspond to
the ISP revenues from online advertising and commissions paid to the ISPs in
relation to online trading
- revenues from value-added services and information services

The market Observatory publishes indicators for the average
monthly invoice per subscription for fixed telephony, mobile telephony and Internet.
These indicators correspond to the average subscription and call charges
(voice and data) billed by operators to customers.
Revenues from interconnection (incoming calls) are not taken
into account. These indicators are not the same as the ARPU
(Average Revenue Per User) figures which generally
correspond to the operators’ revenues from all income related to the use of
the network. For instance, in the case of mobile operators, the ARPU includes
revenues from outgoing calls, data services and value-added services as well
as revenues from incoming calls (interconnection). It may or may not include
revenue from roaming, depending on the operator.
The Observatory also publishes indicators for the average
monthly outgoing traffic per customer, representing
the use consumers make of their telephones.
As with the ARPU, the indicator of average traffic per customer
or AUPU (Average Usage Per User) is used by certain financial firms and the
operators. It covers some or all of the incoming calls in order to create a
figure for volume which is comparable to that used for the ARPU. It does not
represent the average usage per customer and is considered, rather, as an indicator
of the operator’s volume of business per customer.
|

Note: Average recurring monthly revenue per active customer
equals recurring revenue for the quarter divided by 3, divided by the average
number of active customers ((Number of active customers at the end of the previous
quarter + Number of active customers at the end of the quarter in question)/2).

|
|
|